- The Bruins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Capitals
- Capitals vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ABC | RSN1 | TVA
The Washington Capitals (31-25) visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins (34-22) on Mar. 7 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 pm.
The Bruins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Capitals vs. Bruins Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Capitals vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Capitals | +1.5 -225 | 6 -102 | +105 |
| Bruins | -1.5 +185 | 6 -118 | -130 |
Capitals vs Bruins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Bruins will win this game with 59.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Bruins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 2P Puck Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+2.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 32-31 against the spread this NHL season (+8.55 Units / 10.1% ROI).
- Capitals are 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units /-11.43% ROI
- Capitals are 29-31 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -6.72% ROI
- Capitals are 31-29 when betting the Under for -0.35 Units /-0.51% ROI
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 38-23 against the spread this NHL season (+12.8 Units /13.43% ROI).
- Bruins are 34-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units / 17.6% ROI
- Bruins are 34-26 when betting the Over for +5.35 Units / 7.96% ROI
- Bruins are 26-34 when betting the Under for -11.5 Units / -17.14% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Bruins vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +110 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +175 |
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +195 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +225 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | +250 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Pavel Zacha (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Morgan Geekie (BOS) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Pavel Zacha (BOS) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Morgan Geekie (BOS) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 4-9 (.308) when tied after the second period this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .872
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 34-26 (.567) this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Bruins were 1-32 (.030) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 5.24 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 13 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 26 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have 1.8 rush chances per game while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Bruins have scored on 35% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 12% of cycle chances this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins scored on 19% of second chance opportunities last season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins allowed 0.14 expected goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
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