- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Blues
- Capitals vs. Blues Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: FDMW | MNMT
The Washington Capitals (35-27) visit Enterprise Center to take on the St. Louis Blues (28-30) on Mar. 24 in St. Louis, MO. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Capitals vs. Blues Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Capitals vs. Blues Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Capitals | -1.5 +200 | 6 -110 | -110 |
| Blues | +1.5 -250 | 6 -110 | -110 |
Capitals vs Blues Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Blues Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 50.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 1P Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Blues Best Bets & Trends
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the 1P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 65% ROI)
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 36-35 against the spread this NHL season (+7.6 Units / 7.89% ROI).
- Capitals are 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units /-9.9% ROI
- Capitals are 30-38 when betting the Over for -11.7 Units / -14.82% ROI
- Capitals are 38-30 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units /7.18% ROI
Blues Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Blues are 38-31 against the spread this NHL season (-3 Units /-2.54% ROI).
- Blues are 28-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -15.26% ROI
- Blues are 30-37 when betting the Over for -10.6 Units / -13.92% ROI
- Blues are 37-30 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 5.09% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Blues vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +200 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +210 |
| Jordan Kyrou (StL) | +230 |
| Dylan Holloway (STL) | +250 |
| Robert Thomas (StL) | +270 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | +275 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Blues vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Blues vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -118 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -140 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -190 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Blues
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 85-66 (.563) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754
Blues: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Blues are 11-18 (.379) when winning the xG advantage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .638
The Blues are 4-38 (.095) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .282
The Blues are 27-41 (.397) this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blues are 2-26 (.071) when trailing after the second period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .147
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5.33 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 26 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 13 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Blues Offensive Stats & Trends
The Blues have scored on 5% of second chance opportunities in the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Blues are 11-18 (.379) when winning the xG advantage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .638
The Blues have scored on 10% of rush chances this season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have averaged 2.70 expected goals per game this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Blues Defensive Stats & Trends
The Blues allowed opponents to score on 17% of cycle chances against the power play last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances against the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Blues have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
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