- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Canadiens vs. Sharks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NSCA | TSN2 | RDS
The Montreal Canadiens (33-17) visit SAP Center at San Jose to take on the San Jose Sharks (29-25) on Mar. 3 in San Jose, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Canadiens vs. Sharks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Sharks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Canadiens | -1.5 +170 | 6.5 -105 | -135 |
| Sharks | +1.5 -210 | 6.5 -115 | +110 |
Canadiens vs Sharks Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Canadiens vs Sharks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+16.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 away games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 35-24 against the spread this NHL season (+9.95 Units / 10.36% ROI).
- Canadiens are 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units /7.64% ROI
- Canadiens are 36-21 when betting the Over for +12.7 Units / 19.51% ROI
- Canadiens are 21-36 when betting the Under for -19.05 Units /-29.26% ROI
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 37-21 against the spread this NHL season (+10.6 Units /12.16% ROI).
- Sharks are 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 23.95% ROI
- Sharks are 28-28 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -5.07% ROI
- Sharks are 28-28 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -2.33% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Sharks vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Misa (SJ) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sharks vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Misa (SJ) | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -160 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -165 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Canadiens are 29-19 (.604) when creating 5 or more rush chances this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .539
The Canadiens are 28-17 (.622) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .533
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
The Sharks are 47-125 (.273) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .443
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Canadiens have scored 41 power play goals this season — 10th most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 3.5 points per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.7
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks have scored 4 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Sharks scored on 8% of rush chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 0.8 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Sharks allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Sharks have allowed 3.7 goals per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.0
The Sharks have made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
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