- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Canadiens
- Canadiens vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM | CBC
The Montreal Canadiens visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres on May 14 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Canadiens vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Canadiens vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Canadiens vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canadiens will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 1P Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 54-39 against the spread this NHL season (+16.25 Units / 11.03% ROI).
- Canadiens are 54-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units /10.21% ROI
- Canadiens are 48-41 when betting the Over for +1.85 Units / 1.77% ROI
- Canadiens are 41-48 when betting the Under for -11.25 Units /-11.09% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 52-40 against the spread this NHL season (+16.9 Units /12.42% ROI).
- Sabres are 56-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.2 Units / 15.24% ROI
- Sabres are 41-45 when betting the Over for -8.65 Units / -8.48% ROI
- Sabres are 45-41 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 0.2% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +160 |
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +170 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +195 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +210 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +210 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | +300 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kirby Dach (MTL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jake Evans (MTL) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
| Josh Anderson (MTL) | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +100 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -125 |
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 46-33 (.582) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 13-7 (.650) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .474
The Canadiens are 33-1 (.971) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Sabres are 47-32 (.595) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 2-28 (.067) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
The Sabres are 31-9 (.775) when having 3 or more xG. this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens have drawn 23 penalties in the second period this month — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 65 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 9.2 points per game this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.3
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 171 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres had 86 forecheck chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 9 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres had 38 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have a .906 save percentage this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .897
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
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