- The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Canadiens
- Canadiens vs. Red Wings Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | TSN2 | RDS
The Montreal Canadiens (37-20) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings (37-23) on Mar. 19 in Detroit, MI. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+220).
The Canadiens vs. Red Wings Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Red Wings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Canadiens | +1.5 -275 | 6 +100 | -110 |
| Red Wings | -1.5 +220 | 6 -120 | -110 |
Canadiens vs Red Wings Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Canadiens vs Red Wings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 102% ROI)
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 38-29 against the spread this NHL season (+8.45 Units / 7.98% ROI).
- Canadiens are 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units /5.64% ROI
- Canadiens are 40-25 when betting the Over for +11.8 Units / 15.71% ROI
- Canadiens are 25-40 when betting the Under for -18.85 Units /-25.68% ROI
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 35-33 against the spread this NHL season (+0.6 Units /0.59% ROI).
- Red Wings are 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 5.47% ROI
- Red Wings are 30-32 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -6.42% ROI
- Red Wings are 32-30 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.34% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Red Wings vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +140 |
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +155 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +195 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +195 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +200 |
| Patrick Kane (DET) | +225 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Red Wings vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| James Van Riemsdyk (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Red Wings vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Marco Kasper (DET) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 37-29 (.561) this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 5-10 (.333) when drawing more penalties this season — tied for 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475
The Canadiens are 53-4 (.930) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .846
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Red Wings are 37-30 (.552) this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings were 14-27 (.341) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Red Wings are 2-24 (.077) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .133
The Red Wings are 21-12 (.636) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .499
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens have 3.6 points per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.8
The Canadiens have scored on 14% of second chance opportunities this season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Canadiens have 9.6 points per game this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.3
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Canadiens have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings had 2,471 puck battle wins last season — 10th most among NHL Teams
The Red Wings have allowed 0.1 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Red Wings allowed opponents to score on 29% of second chance opportunities against the power play last season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
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