- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Ducks
- Canadiens vs. Ducks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: KCOP | VIC+ | TSN2 | RDS
The Montreal Canadiens (33-18) visit Honda Center to take on the Anaheim Ducks (34-24) on Mar. 6 in Anaheim, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Canadiens vs. Ducks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Ducks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Canadiens | -1.5 +200 | 6.5 +105 | -110 |
| Ducks | +1.5 -250 | 6.5 -125 | -110 |
Canadiens vs Ducks Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Canadiens vs Ducks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canadiens will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 away games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Ducks Best Bets & Trends
- The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 35-25 against the spread this NHL season (+8.95 Units / 9.23% ROI).
- Canadiens are 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units /5.61% ROI
- Canadiens are 37-21 when betting the Over for +13.7 Units / 20.66% ROI
- Canadiens are 21-37 when betting the Under for -20.05 Units /-30.33% ROI
Ducks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ducks are 30-30 against the spread this NHL season (-12.45 Units /-12.22% ROI).
- Ducks are 34-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 13.53% ROI
- Ducks are 37-24 when betting the Over for +9.9 Units / 14.04% ROI
- Ducks are 24-37 when betting the Under for -15.15 Units / -22.85% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Ducks vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cutter Gauthier (ANA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jackson LaCombe (ANA) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Chris Kreider (ANA) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Ducks vs Canadiens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Cutter Gauthier (ANA) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Jackson LaCombe (ANA) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Chris Kreider (ANA) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Ducks
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens were 3-30 (.091) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135
The Canadiens were 28-3 (.903) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
The Canadiens are 50-4 (.926) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .846
Ducks: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Ducks are 33-27 (.550) this season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Ducks are 95-127 (.428) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Ducks were 35-46 (.432) last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Ducks are undefeated (18-0) when leading after the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .855
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have 3.6 points per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens have 271 cycle chances while tied this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens averaged 2.97 expected goals per game last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
Ducks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Ducks have recorded 1.2 shots per game while shorthanded this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8
The Ducks have scored on 15% of cycle chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Ducks have averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Ducks have 85 forecheck chances while trailing this season — most among NHL Teams
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Ducks allowed 8.1 rush chances per game last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Ducks have allowed 1.3 goals per game while tied this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Ducks allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Ducks allowed 3.3 rush chances per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
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