- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NESN | TVA2 | tru | TNT
The Boston Bruins (39-24) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (44-20) on Mar. 25 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Bruins vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Bruins vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Bruins | +1.5 -140 | 6.5 -110 | +165 |
| Sabres | -1.5 +115 | 6.5 -110 | -200 |
Bruins vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 away games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 45-26 against the spread this NHL season (+18.55 Units / 16.67% ROI).
- Bruins are 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units /13% ROI
- Bruins are 38-32 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 3.56% ROI
- Bruins are 32-38 when betting the Under for -9.6 Units /-12.33% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 42-29 against the spread this NHL season (+16.8 Units /15.91% ROI).
- Sabres are 44-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.15 Units / 21.19% ROI
- Sabres are 32-36 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -9.95% ROI
- Sabres are 36-32 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 1.67% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Bruins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +130 |
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +150 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +180 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +230 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | +250 |
| Josh Norris (BUF) | +260 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Casey Mittelstadt (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +110 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -140 |
| Tage Thompson (BUF) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 69-80 (.463) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are winless (0-25) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .132
The Bruins were undefeated (11-0) when scoring 3 or more goals in a period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .877
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 42-27 (.609) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres are 22-2 (.917) when leading after the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .729
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 33% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins averaged 0.12 expected goals per game while shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
The Bruins have scored on 5% of rush chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
The Bruins have scored on 12% of rush chances this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have drawn 18 penalties in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres have 165 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Bruins have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have allowed 3.6 rush chances per game in the second period this month — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Sabres had 57 successful stick checks on the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
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