- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | R360 | TVA2 | MSGB
The Boston Bruins visit KeyBank Center to take on theBuffalo Sabres on Apr. 21 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Bruins vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Bruins vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Bruins vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 55-28 against the spread this NHL season (+26.55 Units / 20.08% ROI).
- Bruins are 45-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units /12.37% ROI
- Bruins are 44-38 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 2.17% ROI
- Bruins are 38-44 when betting the Under for -10.15 Units /-11.18% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 47-36 against the spread this NHL season (+15.35 Units /12.62% ROI).
- Sabres are 51-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.55 Units / 18.04% ROI
- Sabres are 39-41 when betting the Over for -6.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- Sabres are 41-39 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -1.64% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Bruins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +120 |
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +175 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +185 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +230 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +240 |
| Jack Quinn (BUF) | +270 |
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 75-84 (.472) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 43-36 (.544) this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 47-32 (.595) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres are 23-11 (.676) when scoring a power play goal this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .592
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 20% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 5% of rush chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
The Bruins have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins have scored on 24% of rush chances on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres have scored on 20% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Sabres allowed 3.55 expected goals per game last season — 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sabres have a .704 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
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