- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | HBOM | TVA | tru
The Boston Bruins (35-22) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (31-17) on Mar. 8 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 4:30 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+190).
The Bruins vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Bruins vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Bruins | +1.5 -235 | 6.5 -120 | +105 |
| Penguins | -1.5 +190 | 6.5 +100 | -125 |
Bruins vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+12.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 39-23 against the spread this NHL season (+14.75 Units / 15.32% ROI).
- Bruins are 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units /18.72% ROI
- Bruins are 34-27 when betting the Over for +4.25 Units / 6.22% ROI
- Bruins are 27-34 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units /-15.4% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 37-25 against the spread this NHL season (+12.7 Units /13.31% ROI).
- Penguins are 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.1% ROI
- Penguins are 30-30 when betting the Over for -2.95 Units / -4.32% ROI
- Penguins are 30-30 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -4.72% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Bruins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +125 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +185 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +195 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +200 |
| Yegor Chinakhov (PIT) | +230 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Pavel Zacha (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -118 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -105 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -130 |
| Morgan Geekie (BOS) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Bruins are 34-26 (.567) this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Bruins were 1-32 (.030) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are 12-25 (.324) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 27% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins have 1.8 rush chances per game while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Bruins have 5 high danger chances while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 209 inner slot shots while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 1,010 slot shots this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 34 inner slot shots in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins scored on 9% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Bruins have allowed 13 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
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