- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | RSN | TVA
The Boston Bruins (32-20) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (34-14) on Feb. 1 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 6:30 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Bruins vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Bruins vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bruins | +1.5 -145 | 6 -118 | +170 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +120 | 6 -102 | -102 |
Bruins vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 35-20 against the spread this NHL season (+13.15 Units / 15.19% ROI).
- Bruins are 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.1 Units /23.08% ROI
- Bruins are 31-23 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 9.21% ROI
- Bruins are 23-31 when betting the Under for -11.1 Units /-18.39% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 27-25 against the spread this NHL season (+12.05 Units /18.34% ROI).
- Lightning are 34-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 9.62% ROI
- Lightning are 23-27 when betting the Over for -6.45 Units / -11.3% ROI
- Lightning are 27-23 when betting the Under for +1.85 Units / 3.22% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Bruins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +125 |
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +135 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +145 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +165 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +190 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -118 | 0.5 -115 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Casey Mittelstadt (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Hampus Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -285 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Bruins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -125 |
| Hampus Lindholm (BOS) | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +115 |
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 31-23 (.574) this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 16-29 (.356) when recording less than 30 shots on goal last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .467
The Bruins are winless (0-18) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .122
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Lightning are 34-18 (.654) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 29-16 (.644) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .473
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 125-88 (.587) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins have scored on 28% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins had 5.5 rush chances per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Bruins have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have scored on 27% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had 5 cycle chances while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins have allowed 0.5 rush chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have allowed 8.8 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11.7
The Lightning have allowed 4.2 high danger chances per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.9
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning have allowed 1.67 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.08
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