Bruins vs Flyers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Feb 28

Philadelphia Flyers mascot Gritty, center, celebrates with the fans during the third period of an NHL hockey game against the Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023, in Philadelphia. The Flyers won 2-0.
(AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Flyers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
  • Bruins vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: ABC | TVA

The Boston Bruins (33-20) visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers (26-21) on Feb. 28 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 3:00 pm.

The Flyers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).

The Bruins vs. Flyers Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Bruins vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Bruins+1.5 -2506 -102-102
Flyers-1.5 +2006 -118-118

Bruins vs Flyers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Flyers will win this game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Bruins vs Flyers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bruins are 38-20 against the spread this NHL season (+17.3 Units / 19.05% ROI).

  • Bruins are 33-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units /20.41% ROI
  • Bruins are 33-24 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 10.16% ROI
  • Bruins are 24-33 when betting the Under for -12.4 Units /-19.45% ROI

Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Flyers are 35-23 against the spread this NHL season (+5.75 Units /6.02% ROI).

  • Flyers are 26-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • Flyers are 30-26 when betting the Over for +1.15 Units / 1.8% ROI
  • Flyers are 26-30 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -12.16% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flyers vs Bruins

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
David Pastrnak (Bos) +125
Travis Konecny (Phi) +180
Trevor Zegras (PHI) +210
Morgan Geekie (Bos) +210
Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) +250
Christian Dvorak (PHI) +260

Points Per Game Predictions for Flyers vs Bruins

Player Name Over Under
Pavel Zacha (BOS) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Elias Lindholm (BOS) 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Charlie McAvoy (BOS) 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Morgan Geekie (BOS) 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Fraser Minten (BOS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Shots on Goal Predictions for Flyers vs Bruins

Player Name Over Under
Elias Lindholm (BOS) 1.5 -190 1.5 +140
Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Morgan Geekie (BOS) 2.5 +115 2.5 -155
Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) 2.5 -118 2.5 -115
Matvei Michkov (PHI) 2.5 -105 2.5 -135

Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers

The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Bruins are 31-25 (.554) this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432

The Bruins are winless (0-20) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .124

Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins

The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flyers are 96-119 (.447) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flyers are 25-29 (.463) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flyers were 24-14 (.632) when winning the xG advantage last season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694

The Bruins have 5 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Bruins have scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 20%

The Flyers scored on 6% of cycle chances on the power play last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Flyers have scored on 6% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830

The Bruins allowed opponents to score on 21% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins have allowed 13 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Flyers have a .884 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900

The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830

The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835

The Flyers had a .878 save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901


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