Bruins vs Canadiens Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 17

Montreal Canadiens fans celebrate after a goal by right wing Cole Caufield during the first period of an NHL hockey game against the Seattle Kraken, Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2025, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Maddy Grassy)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
  • Bruins vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: NESN | TSN2 | RDS

The Boston Bruins (37-23) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (36-20) on Mar. 17 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Bruins vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Bruins vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Bruins+1.5 -1706.5 -120+140
Canadiens-1.5 +1406.5 +100-170

Bruins vs Canadiens Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 80.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Bruins vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 away games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 3P Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bruins are 42-25 against the spread this NHL season (+15.75 Units / 14.99% ROI).

  • Bruins are 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units /15.27% ROI
  • Bruins are 36-30 when betting the Over for +2.95 Units / 3.98% ROI
  • Bruins are 30-36 when betting the Under for -9.5 Units /-12.93% ROI

Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Canadiens are 38-28 against the spread this NHL season (+9.45 Units /9% ROI).

  • Canadiens are 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 4.49% ROI
  • Canadiens are 40-24 when betting the Over for +12.9 Units / 17.43% ROI
  • Canadiens are 24-40 when betting the Under for -19.85 Units / -27.46% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Bruins

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
David Pastrnak (Bos) +130
Cole Caufield (MTL) +130
Nick Suzuki (MTL) +160
Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) +200
Ivan Demidov (MTL) +270
Morgan Geekie (Bos) +250

Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens

The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Bruins are winless (0-24) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .133

The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432

The Bruins are 1-20 (.048) when trailing after the second period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .149

Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins

The Canadiens are 36-29 (.554) this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Canadiens are 52-4 (.929) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .847

The Canadiens are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .486

The Bruins have scored on 35% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Bruins have 14 forecheck chances in the first period this month — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins drew 237 penalties last season — tied for 8th most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens have 3.6 points per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.8

The Canadiens averaged 2.97 expected goals per game last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14

The Canadiens have 14 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830

The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins have allowed 13 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins allowed opponents to score on 21% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%


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