- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Blue Jackets
- Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDOH
The Columbus Blue Jackets (32-21) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (39-19) on Mar. 10 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Blue Jackets | +1.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 | +195 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +100 | 6.5 -115 | -235 |
Blue Jackets vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Blue Jackets vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Blue Jackets will cover the spread with 71.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Blue Jackets Best Bets & Trends
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the 1P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+6.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jackets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Blue Jackets are 34-29 against the spread this NHL season (-1.2 Units / -1.13% ROI).
- Blue Jackets are 32-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units /1.1% ROI
- Blue Jackets are 30-31 when betting the Over for -4.15 Units / -5.93% ROI
- Blue Jackets are 31-30 when betting the Under for -2 Units /-2.87% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 31-31 against the spread this NHL season (+10.55 Units /13.77% ROI).
- Lightning are 39-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 4.78% ROI
- Lightning are 30-28 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -0.73% ROI
- Lightning are 28-30 when betting the Under for -4.85 Units / -7.08% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Blue Jackets
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +105 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +150 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | +155 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +200 |
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | +230 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Blue Jackets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Ivan Provorov (CBJ) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Conor Garland (CBJ) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Blue Jackets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +120 |
Blue Jackets: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Blue Jackets are 96-125 (.434) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blue Jackets are 59-97 (.378) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
The Blue Jackets are 27-45 (.375) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blue Jackets are 40-59 (.404) when recording less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Blue Jackets
The Lightning are 39-23 (.629) this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 85-56 (.603) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 129-90 (.589) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Blue Jackets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Blue Jackets scored on 20% of rush chances while leading last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Blue Jackets scored on 14% of cycle chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Blue Jackets scored on 25% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Blue Jackets have 22 slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning have scored on 26% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Lightning have scored on 30% of second chance opportunities on the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18%
Blue Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Blue Jackets allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Blue Jackets have allowed 13 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Blue Jackets have allowed 8 second chance scoring opportunities in the third period this month — most among NHL Teams
The Blue Jackets have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning have allowed 1.73 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.10
The Lightning had a .800 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .893
The Lightning have allowed 9.4 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12.0
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