- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Wild
- Avalanche vs. Wild Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM | RSN
The Colorado Avalanche visit Grand Casino Arena to take on the Minnesota Wild on May 9 in Saint Paul, MN. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Avalanche vs. Wild Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Wild Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Avalanche vs Wild Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Wild Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 3P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 46-42 against the spread this NHL season (+16.1 Units / 16.8% ROI).
- Avalanche are 61-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units /4.27% ROI
- Avalanche are 35-49 when betting the Over for -20.45 Units / -20.49% ROI
- Avalanche are 49-35 when betting the Under for +12.65 Units /13.33% ROI
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 44-46 against the spread this NHL season (+0.05 Units /0.04% ROI).
- Wild are 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.54% ROI
- Wild are 50-36 when betting the Over for +9.6 Units / 9.47% ROI
- Wild are 36-50 when betting the Under for -17.35 Units / -17.8% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Wild vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | +110 |
| Kirill Kaprizov (Min) | +120 |
| Matt Boldy (Min) | +140 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +180 |
| Ryan Hartman (Min) | +275 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | +280 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Wild vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Boldy (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Quinn Hughes (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Wild vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
| Ross Colton (COL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +110 |
| Matt Boldy (MIN) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -105 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Avalanche are 53-26 (.671) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 100-58 (.633) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Wild are 44-34 (.564) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 17-9 (.654) when tied after the first period this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 40-12 (.769) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .718
The Wild were 39-6 (.867) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 35.7 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.8
The Avalanche have recorded 28.5 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.3
The Avalanche have 5.7 slot shots per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
The Avalanche have 697 cycle chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 7% of second chance opportunities against the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18%
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
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