- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Stars
- Avalanche vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | VIC+
The Colorado Avalanche (41-10) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (38-14) on Mar. 6 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Avalanche vs. Stars Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +195 | 6 -110 | -120 |
| Stars | +1.5 -235 | 6 -110 | +100 |
Avalanche vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the Puck Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 33-27 against the spread this NHL season (+14.35 Units / 21.83% ROI).
- Avalanche are 41-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units /4.17% ROI
- Avalanche are 26-32 when betting the Over for -10.3 Units / -15.11% ROI
- Avalanche are 32-26 when betting the Under for +5.05 Units /7.81% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 25-36 against the spread this NHL season (-6.8 Units /-8.52% ROI).
- Stars are 38-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 5.27% ROI
- Stars are 30-30 when betting the Over for -3.15 Units / -4.68% ROI
- Stars are 30-30 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -4.31% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Roope Hintz (DAL) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Cale Makar (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +100 |
| Roope Hintz (DAL) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
| Cale Makar (Col) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Devon Toews (COL) | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Avalanche are 41-19 (.683) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 14-6 (.700) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .462
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 38-23 (.623) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .513
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 36.0 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.0
The Avalanche have 344 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 7.8 rush chances per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Avalanche have recorded 28.7 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.3
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Stars have 7 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have a .919 save percentage in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .887
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .909 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 14.6 high danger chances per game this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
The Stars allowed 0.5 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Stars have allowed 2.69 expected goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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