- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Stars
- Avalanche vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ABC | RSN
The Colorado Avalanche (49-15) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (45-19) on Apr. 4 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 3:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Avalanche vs. Stars Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Avalanche vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 53.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 20 away games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 37-37 against the spread this NHL season (+8.15 Units / 10.02% ROI).
- Avalanche are 49-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units /-0.64% ROI
- Avalanche are 31-39 when betting the Over for -13.05 Units / -15.56% ROI
- Avalanche are 39-31 when betting the Under for +6.75 Units /8.45% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 30-46 against the spread this NHL season (-9.75 Units /-10.01% ROI).
- Stars are 45-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.58% ROI
- Stars are 37-38 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -6.35% ROI
- Stars are 38-37 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -2.41% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Stars vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | +110 |
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +145 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | +160 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +180 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +195 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Justin Hryckowian (DAL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | 0.5 -118 | 0.5 -110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -175 |
| Mavrik Bourque (DAL) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 49-24 (.671) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .459
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .523
The Stars are 44-30 (.595) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 32-18 (.640) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 35.8 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Avalanche have 7.8 rush chances per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Avalanche have recorded 894 shots in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 6.7 rush chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.1
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have secondary assisted on 64 goals on the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 8 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 33% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Avalanche have a .803 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Avalanche have a .633 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .833
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Stars have allowed 14.9 high danger chances per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.3
The Stars allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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