- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Senators
- Avalanche vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | RSN | TVA
The Colorado Avalanche (35-6) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (24-21) on Jan. 28 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 4:30 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Avalanche vs. Senators Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +145 | 6.5 -130 | -160 |
| Senators | +1.5 -175 | 6.5 +105 | +135 |
Avalanche vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 81.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 27-23 against the spread this NHL season (+9.65 Units / 17.47% ROI).
- Avalanche are 35-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units /5.11% ROI
- Avalanche are 23-27 when betting the Over for -7.75 Units / -13.62% ROI
- Avalanche are 27-23 when betting the Under for +3.05 Units /5.68% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 21-31 against the spread this NHL season (-7.45 Units /-10.69% ROI).
- Senators are 24-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -14.31% ROI
- Senators are 30-21 when betting the Over for +6.25 Units / 10.67% ROI
- Senators are 21-30 when betting the Under for -11.1 Units / -19.77% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Senators vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | -110 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +150 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +170 |
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +180 |
| Tim Stutzle (Ott) | +210 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Cale Makar (COL) | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Victor Olofsson (COL) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Cale Makar (Col) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -110 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Victor Olofsson (COL) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Avalanche are 34-15 (.694) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 23-9 (.719) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .497
The Avalanche are 74-39 (.655) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .525
The Avalanche are 81-47 (.633) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Senators are 23-27 (.460) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 6-13 (.316) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .503
The Senators were 22-5 (.815) when leading after the first period last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 16.9 slot shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Avalanche have recorded 29.0 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.2
The Avalanche have 10.9 points per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Avalanche have 297 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 38 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 16 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have a .926 save percentage in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .888
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have a .760 slot save percentage in the third period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .818
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 23% of rush chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Senators have a .878 save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .898
The Senators have a .815 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
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