- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Avalanche vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | SNPT | RSN
The Colorado Avalanche (46-13) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (35-19) on Mar. 24 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Avalanche vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +140 | 6.5 +105 | -160 |
| Penguins | +1.5 -170 | 6.5 -130 | +135 |
Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 3P Puck Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.25 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 35-34 against the spread this NHL season (+9.5 Units / 12.65% ROI).
- Avalanche are 46-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units /2.24% ROI
- Avalanche are 28-38 when betting the Over for -14.95 Units / -19.11% ROI
- Avalanche are 38-28 when betting the Under for +8.95 Units /12.01% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 41-29 against the spread this NHL season (+11 Units /10.2% ROI).
- Penguins are 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.34% ROI
- Penguins are 37-31 when betting the Over for +2.75 Units / 3.54% ROI
- Penguins are 31-37 when betting the Under for -9.65 Units / -12.47% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | +100 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +140 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +210 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +230 |
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +230 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Sidney Crosby (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Evgeni Malkin (PIT) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -130 |
| Sidney Crosby (PIT) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Evgeni Malkin (PIT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 46-22 (.676) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 29-17 (.630) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
The Avalanche are 16-6 (.727) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .461
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Penguins are 12-28 (.300) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-22) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .167
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 885 cycle chances this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 602 cycle chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 16.6 slot shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Avalanche have scored 7 power play goals in the first period this month — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 7 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 56 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 33 cycle chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have a .643 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Penguins have allowed 8 forecheck chances while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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