- The Maple Leafs are a +1.5 goal underdog vs. the Avalanche
- Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | TSN4 | NHL | TVA
The Colorado Avalanche (34-6) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (24-18) on Jan. 25 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:30 pm.
The Maple Leafs are betting underdogs in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at +1.5 (-160).
The Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +135 | 6.5 -120 | -170 |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -160 | 6.5 +100 | +140 |
Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 86.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 26-23 against the spread this NHL season (+8.3 Units / 15.3% ROI).
- Avalanche are 34-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units /4.25% ROI
- Avalanche are 23-26 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -11.76% ROI
- Avalanche are 26-23 when betting the Under for +2.05 Units /3.89% ROI
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 23-28 against the spread this NHL season (-9 Units /-11.58% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -9.83% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 30-19 when betting the Over for +9.2 Units / 16.33% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 19-30 when betting the Under for -13.85 Units / -24.69% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | -110 |
| Auston Matthews (TOR) | +115 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +165 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +180 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +220 |
| Artturi Lehkonen (COL) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Cale Makar (COL) | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -235 |
| Matias Maccelli (TOR) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jake McCabe (TOR) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -325 |
| Victor Olofsson (COL) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
| Cale Makar (Col) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Victor Olofsson (COL) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -130 |
| Sam Malinski (COL) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -200 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Avalanche are 34-15 (.694) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 131-79 (.624) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 81-47 (.633) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 23-27 (.460) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 119-92 (.564) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 73-56 (.566) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 36.6 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.0
The Avalanche have 8.0 rush chances per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.3
The Avalanche have 13.0 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.1
The Avalanche have 10.9 points per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.2
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 15% of rush chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 23% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 14% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have a .926 save percentage in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .888
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 12% of cycle chances in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have allowed 14 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs have made 30.1 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.9
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 0% of rush chances against the power play last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
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