- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Avalanche vs. Flames Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: KUSA | ALT | KTVD | RSNW
The Colorado Avalanche (53-16) visit Scotiabank Saddledome to take on the Calgary Flames (33-38) on Apr. 14 in Calgary, AB. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Avalanche vs. Flames Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Flames Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Avalanche vs Flames Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 86.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Flames Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flames will cover the spread with 80.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 away games (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+9.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in their last 8 games at home (+9.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 40-40 against the spread this NHL season (+9.9 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- Avalanche are 53-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units /-0.09% ROI
- Avalanche are 31-45 when betting the Over for -19.75 Units / -21.81% ROI
- Avalanche are 45-31 when betting the Under for +12.75 Units /14.76% ROI
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 45-34 against the spread this NHL season (-5.45 Units /-3.88% ROI).
- Flames are 33-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -11.01% ROI
- Flames are 38-38 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -4.33% ROI
- Flames are 38-38 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -2.48% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Flames vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
| Morgan Frost (CAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Devon Toews (COL) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Flames vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +110 |
| Morgan Frost (CAL) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -190 |
| Gabriel Landeskog (COL) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -140 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Avalanche are 51-26 (.662) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 17-7 (.708) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .459
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Flames are undefeated (20-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .870
The Flames are 33-45 (.423) this season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames were undefeated (17-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 35.6 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.8
The Avalanche have 6.7 rush chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Avalanche have 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Avalanche have 12.8 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames recorded 12.6 shots per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.5
The Flames have averaged 0.88 expected goals per game in the third period this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 33% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 5% of cycle chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Flames have allowed 0.6 rush chances per game against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Flames have allowed 225 forecheck chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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