Avalanche vs Ducks Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 3

Anaheim Ducks head coach Joel Quenneville yells to his players during the second period of an NHL hockey game against the Chicago Blackhawks, Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
  • The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Ducks
  • Avalanche vs. Ducks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: VIC+ | ALT

The Colorado Avalanche (40-10) visit Honda Center to take on the Anaheim Ducks (33-23) on Mar. 3 in Anaheim, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Avalanche vs. Ducks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Avalanche vs. Ducks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Avalanche-1.5 +1506.5 +105-150
Ducks+1.5 -1856.5 -130+125

Avalanche vs Ducks Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 83.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Avalanche vs Ducks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ducks will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 12 away games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Avalanche are 32-27 against the spread this NHL season (+12.75 Units / 19.69% ROI).

  • Avalanche are 40-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units /3.41% ROI
  • Avalanche are 26-31 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -13.46% ROI
  • Avalanche are 31-26 when betting the Under for +3.95 Units /6.2% ROI

Ducks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ducks are 29-29 against the spread this NHL season (-11.6 Units /-11.88% ROI).

  • Ducks are 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 13.93% ROI
  • Ducks are 37-22 when betting the Over for +12.4 Units / 18.24% ROI
  • Ducks are 22-37 when betting the Under for -17.25 Units / -26.83% ROI

Points Per Game Predictions for Ducks vs Avalanche

Player Name Over Under
Valeri Nichushkin (COL) 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Cutter Gauthier (ANA) 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Jackson LaCombe (ANA) 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Chris Kreider (ANA) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Cale Makar (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Shots on Goal Predictions for Ducks vs Avalanche

Player Name Over Under
Valeri Nichushkin (COL) 2.5 +115 2.5 -155
Cutter Gauthier (ANA) 3.5 -130 3.5 -105
Jackson LaCombe (ANA) 1.5 -125 1.5 -110
Chris Kreider (ANA) 1.5 -190 1.5 +140
Cale Makar (Col) 2.5 -165 2.5 +120

Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Ducks

The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 40-19 (.678) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 76-41 (.650) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .525

Ducks: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche

The Ducks were 35-46 (.432) last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are 33-26 (.559) this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are 95-127 (.428) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are undefeated (18-0) when leading after the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856

The Avalanche have 335 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche have averaged 1.29 expected goals per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.04

The Avalanche have 12.9 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Avalanche have recorded 28.8 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.3

The Ducks have recorded 1.2 shots per game while shorthanded this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8

The Ducks have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Ducks have secondary assisted on 12 goals in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Ducks have averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1

The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1

The Avalanche have a .636 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832

The Ducks allowed 8.1 rush chances per game last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Ducks have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Ducks made 12.4 saves per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9.5

The Ducks allowed 267 rush chances while tied last season — most among NHL Teams


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