- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Capitals
- Avalanche vs. Capitals Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | MNMT | RSN1 | TVA
The Colorado Avalanche (45-13) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Capitals (35-27) on Mar. 22 in Washington, D.C., DC. The puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Avalanche vs. Capitals Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Capitals Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +140 | 6 -102 | -170 |
| Capitals | +1.5 -170 | 6 -118 | +140 |
Avalanche vs Capitals Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 85.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Capitals Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.85 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 35-33 against the spread this NHL season (+10.5 Units / 14.17% ROI).
- Avalanche are 45-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units /1.56% ROI
- Avalanche are 28-37 when betting the Over for -13.8 Units / -17.9% ROI
- Avalanche are 37-28 when betting the Under for +7.95 Units /10.82% ROI
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 35-35 against the spread this NHL season (+6.6 Units /6.98% ROI).
- Capitals are 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -8.92% ROI
- Capitals are 30-37 when betting the Over for -10.55 Units / -13.56% ROI
- Capitals are 37-30 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 5.98% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Capitals vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | +105 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +125 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +200 |
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +220 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +225 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Capitals vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Capitals vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Avalanche are 45-22 (.672) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 76-41 (.650) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .525
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 85-65 (.567) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 10-5 (.667) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal last season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .444
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 376 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 877 cycle chances this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have scored 7 power play goals in the first period this month — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 5.6 slot shots per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5.33 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 13 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have scored on 9% of rush chances this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have a .630 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
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