- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Canadiens
- Avalanche vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | TSN2 | RDS
The Colorado Avalanche (35-6) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (29-17) on Jan. 29 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Avalanche vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +180 | 6.5 +105 | -130 |
| Canadiens | +1.5 -220 | 6.5 -125 | +110 |
Avalanche vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Avalanche vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 27-24 against the spread this NHL season (+8.65 Units / 15.38% ROI).
- Avalanche are 35-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units /3.67% ROI
- Avalanche are 24-27 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -11.62% ROI
- Avalanche are 27-24 when betting the Under for +2.05 Units /3.75% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 30-23 against the spread this NHL season (+5.4 Units /6.33% ROI).
- Canadiens are 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 5.64% ROI
- Canadiens are 32-19 when betting the Over for +10.9 Units / 18.74% ROI
- Canadiens are 19-32 when betting the Under for -16.85 Units / -28.71% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | -110 |
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +140 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +160 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +180 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +220 |
| Victor Olofsson (COL) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cale Makar (COL) | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Avalanche
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Cale Makar (Col) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Avalanche are 34-16 (.680) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 81-48 (.628) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 131-80 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Canadiens are 28-24 (.538) this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 97-117 (.453) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens were 28-3 (.903) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
The Canadiens are 18-8 (.692) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .588
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 28.7 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.2
The Avalanche have recorded 36.2 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Avalanche have 297 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 197 rush chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have 3.3 points per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Canadiens have drawn 13 penalties in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 566 cycle chances this season — tied for 3rd most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 250 cycle chances while tied this season — most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have a .921 save percentage in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .888
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have allowed 2.4 goals per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
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