- Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (+550) remains the favourite to win the NFL MVP despite the Ravens drafting just one skill position player.
- Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (+600) is second after signing a $330 million extension.
- Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (+700) is third after the Chiefs drafted a left tackle at No. 32 overall.
With the 2025 NFL Draft having come and gone, all eyes are on the 2025-26 season, including the league MVP odds.
Below, I’ll predict and analyze the top five odds-on favourites using odds from the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Prediction: Who Will Win the NFL MVP in 2024-25?
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the current favourite to win the 2025-26 NFL MVP, with football betting odds of +550, followed by:
- Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+600)
- Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+700)
- Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+750)
- Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders (+850)
I predict Joe Burrow (+750) will win the 2025-26 NFL MVP.
He threw for 4,918 passing yards, 43 touchdowns, nine interceptions, and a completion percentage of 70.6% last season, and the team has retained wide receiver Tee Higgins.
I expected the Bengals to address the defensive line at No. 17 overall, and they did with Shemar Stewart.
However, they didn’t address offence until the third round with a guard in Dylan Fairchild, who I’m not the biggest fan of, but who has that wrestling background that offensive coordinators and offensive line coaches will covet.
Fairchild could be the starting left guard to help protect Burrow if he exceeds my expectations.
2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
| Player | Team | Current Odds | Opening Odds |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | +550 | +450 |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | +600 | +600 |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | +700 | +700 |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | +750 | +750 |
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | +850 | +1100 |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | +2000 | +2500 |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | +2000 | +2000 |
| CJ Stroud | Houston Texans | +2200 | +2200 |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | +2500 | +2500 |
| Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | +2800 | +2800 |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | +3000 | +2500 |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3000 | +3000 |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | +3500 | +3500 |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | +3500 | +3500 |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | +3500 | +3500 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins | +4000 | +4000 |
| Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals | +5000 | +5000 |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | +5000 | +5000 |
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | +5000 | +5000 |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | +6600 | +6600 |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | +6600 | +6600 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | Atlanta Falcons | +6600 | +6600 |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | +6600 | +6600 |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | +8000 | +8000 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Free Agent | +8000 | +8000 |
| Geno Smith | Las Vegas Raiders | +8000 | +8000 |
2025-26 NFL MVP Predictions & Best Bets
Lamar Jackson to Win NFL MVP +550
Jackson is currently +550 to win the NFL MVP.
The Ravens addressed the defence early and often, but they also drafted a potential starting guard in Emery Jones Jr.
Other than that, there was a lot of defensive talent and a new kicker, and while they did take wide receiver LaJohntay Wester, I think he’ll be used more on special teams.
Josh Allen to Win NFL MVP +600
Allen is currently +600 to win the NFL MVP.
Additionally, the Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl are +750, tied for third in the NFL.
Like Jackson, Allen didn’t get anything new to work with on offence. The Bills drafted a developmental offensive lineman in Chase Lundt and a big-body possession receiver in Kaden Prather, who may see the field a bit, but he’s a seventh-round selection.
Patrick Mahomes to Win NFL MVP +700
Mahomes is currently +700 to win the NFL MVP.
After losing to the Eagles 40-22 in Super Bowl 59, my guess was the Chiefs’ focus would be the offensive line in the 2025 NFL Draft, and they did at No. 32 overall after trading down with the Philadelphia Eagles.
They took Ohio State’s Josh Simmons, who’s recovering from a torn patellar tendon.
As for offensive weapons, they took Jalen Royals and Brashard Smith.
Royals is a possession receiver who can line up anywhere and win contested catches.
Smith is a wide receiver-turned-running back. He’s still learning to play running back, but his pass-catching ability may harken back to the Jerick McKinnon days for the Chiefs.
Joe Burrow to Win NFL MVP +750
Burrow is currently +750 to win the NFL MVP.
This comes despite them being tied for sixth in Super Bowl odds at +1800.
As mentioned, the Bengals didn’t draft any new offensive weapons, but they drafted Fairchild, who they’ve said has a chance to win the left guard job.
The Bengals needed to address the defence, and they took a high-upside edge rusher in Shemar Stewart.
The problem is that, despite his tools, he had just 4.5 sacks over three seasons of college football.
Jayden Daniels to Win NFL MVP +850
Daniels is currently +850 to win the NFL MVP.
The Commanders continued to invest in the offence, taking offensive tackle Josh Conerly Jr. at No. 29 overall, wide receiver Jaylin Lane at No. 128, and one of my favourite running backs in the draft, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, at No. 245.
Conerly Jr. will be a starter along this offensive line, whether as a guard or right tackle.
Lane’s 4.34 40-yard dash (94th percentile) will help make up for the departure of Dyami Brown.
Finally, Croskey-Merritt. He didn’t play in most of 2024 due to eligibility issues, but his skills were on full display at the East-West Shrine Bowl.
The backfield is a bit crowded, but don’t be surprised to see him surge up the depth chart as a two-down back.
List of Every NFL MVP in League History
| Year | Player | Position | Team |
| 2024 | Josh Allen | Quarterback | Buffalo Bills |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | Quarterback | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | Quarterback | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | Quarterback | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | Quarterback | Carolina Panthers |
| 2014 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Denver Broncos |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson | Running Back | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2011 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 2010 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
| 2009 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2008 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2007 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
| 2006 | LaDainian Tomlinson | Running Back | San Diego Chargers |
| 2005 | Shaun Alexander | Running Back | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2004 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2003 | Steve McNair | Quarterback | Tennessee Titans |
| 2003 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2002 | Rich Gannon | Quarterback | Oakland Raiders |
| 2001 | Kurt Warner | Quarterback | St. Louis Rams |
| 2000 | Marshall Faulk | Running Back | St. Louis Rams |
| 1999 | Kurt Warner | Quarterback | St. Louis Rams |
| 1998 | Terrell Davis | Running Back | Denver Broncos |
| 1997 | Barry Sanders | Running Back | Detroit Lions |
| 1997 | Brett Favre | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1996 | Brett Favre | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1995 | Brett Favre | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1994 | Steve Young | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1993 | Emmitt Smith | Running Back | Dallas Cowboys |
| 1992 | Steve Young | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1991 | Thurman Thomas | Running Back | Buffalo Bills |
| 1990 | Joe Montana | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1989 | Joe Montana | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1988 | Boomer Esiason | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 1987 | John Elway | Quarterback | Denver Broncos |
| 1986 | Lawrence Taylor | Linebacker | New York Giants |
| 1985 | Marcus Allen | Running Back | Los Angeles Raiders |
| 1984 | Dan Marino | Quarterback | Miami Dolphins |
| 1983 | Joe Theismann | Quarterback | Washington Redskins |
| 1982 | Mark Moseley | Placekicker | Washington Redskins |
| 1981 | Ken Anderson | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 1980 | Brian Sipe | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 1979 | Earl Campbell | Running Back | Houston Oilers |
| 1978 | Terry Bradshaw | Quarterback | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 1977 | Walter Payton | Running Back | Chicago Bears |
| 1976 | Bert Jones | Quarterback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1975 | Fran Tarkenton | Quarterback | Minnesota Vikings |
| 1974 | Ken Stabler | Quarterback | Oakland Raiders |
| 1973 | O.J. Simpson | Running Back | Buffalo Bills |
| 1972 | Larry Brown | Running Back | Washington Redskins |
| 1971 | Alan Page | Defensive Tackle | Minnesota Vikings |
| 1970 | John Brodie | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1969 | Roman Gabriel | Quarterback | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1968 | Earl Morrall | Quarterback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1967 | Johnny Unitas | Quarterback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1966 | Bart Starr | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1965 | Jim Brown | Running Back | Cleveland Browns |
| 1964 | Johnny Unitas | Quarterback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1963 | Y.A. Tittle | Quarterback | New York Giants |
| 1962 | Jim Taylor | Fullback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1961 | Paul Hornung | Halfback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1960 | Norm Van Brocklin | Quarterback | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 1959 | Johnny Unitas | Quarterback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1958 | Jim Brown | Running Back | Cleveland Browns |
| 1957 | Jim Brown | Running Back | Cleveland Browns |
| 1956 | Frank Gifford | Halfback | New York Giants |
| 1955 | Otto Graham | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 1954 | Joe Perry | Fullback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1953 | Otto Graham | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 1952 | Joe Perry | Fullback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1951 | Norm Van Brocklin | Quarterback | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1950 | Otto Graham | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 1949 | Charley Conerly | Quarterback | New York Giants |
| 1948 | Pat Harder | Fullback | Chicago Cardinals |
| 1947 | Sammy Baugh | Quarterback | Washington Redskins |
| 1946 | Bill Dudley | Halfback | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 1945 | Charley Trippi | Halfback | Chicago Cardinals |
| 1944 | Frank Sinkwich | Halfback | Detroit Lions |
| 1943 | Sid Luckman | Quarterback | Chicago Bears |
| 1942 | Don Hutson | End | Green Bay Packers |
| 1941 | Joe Foss | Defensive Back | New York Giants |
| 1940 | Ace Parker | Quarterback | Brooklyn Dodgers |
| 1939 | Parker Hall | Quarterback | Cleveland Rams |
| 1938 | Bob Monnett | Halfback | Green Bay Packers |
| 1937 | Ed Danowski | Quarterback | New York Giants |
| 1936 | Joe F. Carter | Fullback | Detroit Lions |
Who Has the Most NFL MVPs?
The player with the most NFL MVPs is Peyton Manning with five, followed by:
- Aaron Rodgers: 4
- Tom Brady: 3
- Jim Brown 3
- Brett Favre: 3
- Johnny Unitas: 3
- Lamar Jackson: 2
- Patrick Mahomes: 2
- Joe Montana: 2
- Kurt Warner: 2
- Steve Young: 2
