3 Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Prop Predictions & Odds, July 11

A Rawlings MLB base is seen with the Boston Red Sox logo before a baseball game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees Friday, June 16, 2023, at Fenway Park in Boston.
(AP Photo/Winslow Townson)
  • Max Scherzer has a 98 stuff+.
  • Joe Ryan has three plus pitches.
  • Boston has a red-hot offence.

Below, I have picked three more prop bets available at the BetMGM online sportsbook

3 Best MLB Prop Bets, Predictions, & Odds Today

Max Scherzer Under 5.5 Strikeouts ()

The first of my three baseball bets today is fading Max Scherzer. The Athletics have the highest strikeout rate since June 19, but this line is too high. Scherzer has recorded over 5.5 strikeouts just once in his first five starts this year.

Since stuff+ was first recorded in 2020, Scherzer’s stuff has decreased year-on-year. He’s at a 98 stuff+ in 2025, which is below average for starting pitchers. 

Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (TBA)

Joe Ryan has recorded over 6.5 strikeouts in four of his last five starts. Over the last three weeks, the Pittsburgh Pirates have had the fourth-highest strikeout rate in the big leagues.

Ryan’s slider, fastball, and curveball are above-average pitches. Pittsburgh has the sixth-lowest contact rate in the majors. 

Drew Rasmussen Over 1.5 Earned Runs (TBA)

The third of my MLB picks today is backing the Boston Red Sox against Drew Rasmussen. Boston has the third-best wRC+ over the last three weeks. Rasmussen is in the 26th percentile in hard-hit rate and has allowed over 1.5 earned runs in four of his previous six starts.

Rasmussen’s underlying numbers indicate he’s enjoyed some batted-ball luck so far this season. I think the Red Sox can get at least a couple of runs off the Rays’ right-hander.

What Is an MLB Prop Bet?

An MLB prop bet is a wager that is not dependent on the outcome of the game. Prop bets are focused on a specific part of the game, whether that’s the performance of an individual player or the number of runs scored by a team.

Example of an MLB Prop Bet?

MLB prop bets are wide-ranging. Prop bets include whether a player will record an RBI, how many strikeouts a pitcher will have, or whether the game will go to extra innings. 

About the Author

Sam Cox

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Sam Cox is a freelance content writer for BetMGM. He can regularly be found on 888Sport and Betting Expert and has previously written for Sports Betting Dime, OddsChecker, and numerous others. Sam also runs Franchise Sports and has over a decade of experience in the gambling industry.

Sam Cox is a freelance content writer for BetMGM. He can regularly be found on 888Sport and Betting Expert and has previously written for Sports Betting Dime, OddsChecker, and numerous others. Sam also runs Franchise Sports and has over a decade of experience in the gambling industry.